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Valuations 02 Jul 2026

Robinhood (HOOD): a broker re-rating on prediction markets, cooling on crypto

Robinhood has re-rated from post-IPO wreck to a $98B franchise on prediction markets and product velocity, even as crypto revenue halves. At roughly 51x earnings with no margin of safety, you are paying a growth multiple for a business whose growth just decelerated. Grade BB.

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Forensics 30 Apr 2026

The offchain dependency graph is the attack surface

On April 18, 2026, an attacker drained $292 million in rsETH from KelpDAO's LayerZero bridge in roughly 80 minutes. The contracts behaved exactly

Stress Tests 26 Apr 2026

Maple made 65M for depositors in 2025. SYRUP holders received 2M.

Three layers of fee extraction sit between borrower interest and any value reaching SYRUP buyers. The 32:1 ratio between depositor yield and buybacks is the structure, not a rounding error.

Maple Financetokenomics-analysis
Forensics 20 Apr 2026

The audit fix that became Euler's $197M vulnerability

Nine audits. $197M stolen in eight minutes. The function that made it possible was introduced to fix a previous audit finding and reviewed by exactly one of those nine auditors.

Euler FinanceLending
Forensics 12 Apr 2026

$6.2M Left "Safe" Morpho Vaults in 90 Minutes. Here's How.

Morpho's isolation model worked on March 22. The Public Allocator above it didn't. A hardcoded oracle and 90 minutes was all it took to drain $6.2M from 15 curator vaults.

MorphoLending
Stress Tests 05 Apr 2026

Maple's Stress Test: 18% Is the Number

At 17.7% simultaneous borrower default, syrupUSDC NAV drops below $1.00. The integration surface in Aave and Morpho adds a cascade channel that isn't visible in Maple's own risk model.

Maple FinanceLending
Stress Tests 03 Apr 2026

Supply followed yield. Both went down. (Ethena stress test)

Ethena's supply collapsed from $14B to $5.92B as sUSDe yields compressed from 11% to 3.72%. This is what the economic stress test actually revealed.

EthenaSynthetic Dollars
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